Short term price forecasting using tree based methods
Keywords:
Price forecasting, Data mining toolbox, weka, J48, Random forest, BaggingAbstract
In this paper, electricity price forecasting using J48, Random forest and Bagging are used to effectively forecast the electricity price. These models are obtained by recursively partitioning the data space and fitting a simple prediction model within each partition. The effectiveness of the proposed methods has been validated through comprehensive tests using real price data from Australian electricity market. The comparison of these methods shows that the bagging is having an edge as the accuracy is concerned.
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